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Eric Wesoff: August 14, 2009, 1:00 PM

Energy Storage Economics and the Smart Grid

It has become cliche to refer to energy storage as the holy grail of renewable energy.  Actually, it's not energy storage that we need.  We have that.  What we need is cheap energy storage. 

"Most storage technology is expensive so we spend a lot of time trying to figure out the value."

Those are the words of EPRI's Dan Rastler who spoke on Wednesday night at the monthly Silicon Valley Photovoltaic Society meeting at PARC.

EPRI

Mr. Rastler is the Program Manager for Energy Storage at EPRI.
  
Founded in 1973, EPRI is an "independent" non-profit center for public interest energy and environmental research center that receives about $350 million in funding each year.  "Independent" is an approximate term in this case as EPRI's substantial budget comes in the most part from America's utilities.  And utility agendas don't always map exactly with the public good.  That said, it was an informative talk and Mr. Rastler did not seem too evil.

Smart Grid Defined

Rastler's talk looked at electric energy storage's role in the smart grid, defining the smart grid as "overlaying information control technology over the electric grid for efficiency and reliability,"  adding, "The buzzword is interoperability – how do you make everything connect across the entire domain from bulk generation to the customer?"

He made the distinction between smart grid on the utility side – where utilities are putting sensors and cameras on utility assets, "to where it really gets interesting"– the customer side where the smart grid can influence customer behavior.

Another important point he made was the need for scale – because anything less than 100 megawatts is not really important to a utility.

Industry Pain Points and Market Drivers

  • The biggest driver the electrical sector is facing is carbon.  "There is no single technology that is going to get us there."  It's going to take a portfolio of technologies – solar, de-carbonizing, EVs, wind, nuclear, etc.
  • Managing increased wind penetration – Texas could have 18 gigawatts of wind by 2015, California could have up to 12 gigawatts of wind by 2012.  The intermittency of renewables like wind and solar need bulk storage to buffer that unpredictability.
  • We are going to need $200 billion in transmission and $400 billion in distribution investment in T&D infrastructure over the next 15 years
  • Peak is only 400 hours a year – storage and information control can help manage the peak

Advanced Energy Storage Technology

Rastler is a fan of advanced lead acid batteries.  He pointed out a firm called Xtreme Power and declared that, "lead acid is going to re-emerge."  Xtreme Power builds a solid dry cell rated as a 1-megawatt four-hour system for $2 million.

He noted a few other storage technologies nearing commercialization or ready for deployment at reasonable price points:

  • A 400 megawatt-10hour CAES (Compressed Air Energy Storage) system
  • A 1 megawatt–seven hour NaS system as substation grid support  that costs $3,000 to $3,500 per kilowatt hour
  • A 500 kilowatt-four hour ZnBr flow battery system that is meant to be transportable to where the pain point is
  • "Lithium ion is getting to megawatt scale," he said citing a 1 megawatt-15 minute Li-ion system.  He adds, "There are as many different Li-ion chemistries as there are California wines."  There are currently early field trials by Altair Nano and A123 using Li-ion at utility scale.
  • Redox flow batteries with a number of different electrolyte species

Costs of Storage

According to Rastler, "We need to get below $300 per kilowatt hour installed all in."

CAES is below $100 per kilowatt hour (but does use a fuel source).

Cost of Li-ion ranges from $400 per kilowatt hour to $1,200 per kilowatt hour.

Final Words

Rastler finished in saying that we have to get the cost structure down significantly and we need a smart grid and storage-aware regulatory policy.

He concluded saying that storage is "really an advanced materials play."  The EPRI presentation can be downloaded here.

5 Comments

  • Bruce Niven 08/14/09 5:43 PM

    No comments on pumped storage as part of the mix?
    How about the need for centralized storage (e.g. CAES, pumped storage) vs distributed (e.g. batteries in PV installs, on the utility poles)?
    And given how expensive all these technologies are, isn’t it just cheaper to build excess generation capacity for peak rather than use storage?  When does the tipping point happen in that equation?

    Reply
  • rooferguy 08/14/09 5:47 PM

    Dear Mr. Wesoff -

    I have a few friends in the utility business and they are not all similar to Mr. Burns, as you so snidely imply.  My utility friends have a simple agenda — make as much money as they can (OK, maybe your analogy is pretty good…except for the hairlessness).  Utilities EPRI research arm helps direct their decision making towards projects and technology that makes utilities more money.  There’s nothing wrong with this as long as they can sleep at night (fortunately their reactors give off a comforting green glow).

    Mr. Burns’ comment that utilities will need to invest $200 billion in transmission and $400 billion in distribution is wonderful for him and his donut-gobbling associates.  He’ll get to earn a return on those assets — assets which are effectively paid for by ratepayers (or taxpayers if the Federal Government pays).  Note that this $600 billion spend does not include any new generating capacity.  Let’s just for now say Mr. Burns needs another $400 billion for generation.

    Of course if we directed just some of this $1 trillion dollars to distributed generation power (wind, solar, etc.) that can be deployed quickly, we’ll be able to provide more power for ratepayers at a much lower cost.  Especially if distributed generation batteries become more cost effective.

    But distributed generation power cuts back on Mr. Burns’ profits — hence all the lobbying for new transmission & distribution, nuclear, smart grid and stupid coal.

    Duh

    Reply
  • Kevin Christy 08/14/09 9:33 PM

    Thanks for following this, Eric. We often speculate about how storage will end up being integrated with renewables (At the wind/solar project site? At distribution nodes?). I think the consensus in our office is that storage makes more sense at the distribution node level than it does incorporating storage into every renewable generator.

    Reply
  • Carl Hage 08/15/09 2:15 PM

    Right, energy storage is now a matter of cost. However, there is cost/kW and cost/kWh - both important and the 2 figures are often mixed, confusing the issue. A few days ago I was reading about NaS storage, and I think there is a mistake in the figure above—a sample 1Mw project cost less than $3000/kW - the MWh figure was not cited in press releases, but the batteries are rated 7Wh/W, so the correct figure would be ~$400/kWh for NaS batteries.

    The question above to use storage vs extra generating capacity is valid, and here both $/W and $/Wh are 2 numbers that need to be considered. If a battery costs $3/W, why not build a cheap $1/W gas turbine? Well that figure doesn’t include fuel, and payments are in Wh, and the cost/Wh depends on how often it would be used. It turns out that peaking plants have the highest cost/kWh (like $.50) because they are only used part time, whereas the combined cycle coal plants run full blast 24h/day. So in this economic analysis, besides the $/W and $/Wh, the number of hours/day is important also.

    Assume the NaS battery system costs $365/kWh (close), we could pay for the unit in 1 year if the price was $1/kWh. Suppose it is used for only 5h/day average, then we get $1/day at $.20/kWh cost over 1 year. If we need a payback of 5 years, then if the difference in electric price is $.04/kWh between peak/off-peak, then the unit would be cost effective. For grid stabilization (matching short-term supply and demand) the price difference in kWh is quite high, and it might be possible to have multiple charge-discharge cycles/day. There seems to be only sketchy specifications on the costs and economics of NaS available on the net. It seems experimental at this point, with a few subsidized test sites, and the report phase with economic analysis (e.g. Xcel) are still in the future.

    Lead acid is cheap/kWh, but the problem is lifetime—they have to be replaced after a few years of usage. Perhaps new technologies could address that. Traditional Li-Ion (laptop batteries) have the same lifetime problem, but the new Li Phosphate/Titanate batteries have high power (low cost/W) and long life but high cost/kWh and no current manufacturing capacity at the MWh size systems.

    Compressed air is in theory cheap, but it’s a giant heat pump (refrigerator). When compressed, the air gives off heat into the storage cavern (pumps heat into the ground), then cools when expanded, limiting efficiency. I’ve heard of projects to try to capture, save, and restore the heat, so maybe better efficiency is possible.

    Reply
  • Charles R. Toca 08/21/09 4:58 PM

    We need to get the price of storage down?  Or we need to get the perceived value up?  Looking at the price of storage against only one value is always a looser for storage.  We have hardware and strategies in place now that are less expensive for the one note melodies they play on the grid.  The key for advanced energy storage (AES), like the vanadium redox flow battery, (disclaimer - we’re a strategic partner for Prudent Energy and the VRB-ESS - more information at http://www.Utility-Savings.com) the key is valuing the multiple benefits that come with AES.  Put a MW scale VRB-ESS on the distribution system, and you have frequency regulation, peak shaving/generation shifting, price arbitrage, demand response, emergency power, UPS, black-start, VARS, distributed generation, grid islanding, dispatchable power (from renewable intermittent if paired with those resources) and more.  PV used to be too expensive also, until the social benefits were subsidized.  AES can substitute for multiple expensive capital resources - just counting a few of them in the financial evaluation makes AES a very cost effective (cheap) resource.

    Reply
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