How to Rate An Algae Company

With 57 to chose from, how do determine who’s tops in algae? Take this slightly serious quiz to find out!

Five years ago it was easy to divide up companies trying to make fuel out of algae. There were only a handful in the market and all were in and around the "science experiment" phase.

Now, at least 57 companies have cropped up with plans to either make fuel, organisms or tools for converting oily microorganisms into fossil fuel substitutes and dietary supplements. Some come from the labs of giant universities or have cooperative agreements with oil companies. Other ones are two guys and some stale water.

Luckily, one can break them down by certain variables, which is the purpose of the scorecard below. The most important variable – the acumen of the management team – isn't included, so the "score" is largely hypothetical. But it provides an opportunity to see which companies might have the best technology.

1. What's the growing environment?  Five growing environments exist. The cheapest, and the one currently employed by spirulina growers, are open racetrack ponds. 10 points. Fermentation tanks – i.e. beer kettles where algae are overstuffed with sugar – are more expensive and the only ones that require the algae get fed sugar, instead of free sunlight and carbon dioxide. But they work. 5 points.

Bioreactors and closed ponds get 1 point each. Algae can live off of sunlight and carbon dioxide, but swirling carbon dioxide isn't cheap. And getting rid of water is problematic. 2 points.

The last environment is fish. In this plan hatched by LiveFuels, algae grow in the wild – as cheap as you can get – but get converted into oil by fish, which then get pulled ashore, clubbed in the head, and squeezed for oil. We love the elegance, but not sure it if works. 1 point for now; 8 points if it works.

2. Wild, genetically optimized, or transgenic? Growing plain wild algae is extremely cheap and efficient, 10 points, assuming it works. Genetic optimization, or selective breeding, though, has become the standard and gets 5 points. Transgenic algae, or GMO algae, hold the most potential, but most believe they would need to be growing in fermentation kettles or bioreactors. Because it's still in developments stage, three points. Sapphire Energy says it can grow GMOs in ponds. Ten points when the company (or anyone else) can demonstrate it, 1 point for now.

3. Multiple strains or one? Multiple strains in a single point cost less and maximize solar radiation. Some of the companies working with cyanobacteria say they can tolerate multiple strains of algae in the same environment. So do the fish eaters. 3 points. 2 points for different species in separate environments. 1 point for monocultures.

4. How do you get rid of the water? De-watering is the usually where algae companies get de-flowered. A liter of water might contain 3 grams or less of functional algae. Shedding that water requires time and/or energy. Fermenters do not require algae so 10 points here. Biolight Harvesting (and a few others) say they can work with damp algae. 4 points. Everyone else for now: 0 points. "It is probably the biggest single challenge remaining in terms of economics," said Mike Melnick, Biolight's CEO.

5. How do you get the oil out? Everything in a living cell's nature guards against being cracked open for someone else's pleasure. Synthetic Genomics says it will genetically optimize algae so the cell wall breaks easily, allowing the oil to float to the top. 10 points if you can do it. OriginOil wants to shake it out with microwaves. 5 points. Everyone else squeezes it: 2 points.

6. Milk or kill? Some algae growers, such as Phycal, claim they don't have to kill their algae to get oil. Avoiding death is not being done so the algae can get rehabilitated and land a job in the halfway house cafeteria. Protein and other tissue can make up 70 percent of an algae. Re-growing that takes metabolic heavy lifting. Milking the same sorry organism for a few generations cuts growing cost and time. 10 points if you can do it. Everyone else: 5 points for realism.

7. How many gallons per acre? If they claim 2,000 to 5,000 gallons an acre per year, it's realistic. Seven points. 10,000 to 14,000 sounds out there but possible. 3 points. Over 14,000? Prove it. 0 points for now.

8. Food, fuel or chemicals. Five points for anyone that brings up food. Nutraceutical oils sell for far more than gas. While most companies have touted liquid fuels, a few like Genifuel say they will make natural gas.

9. Lipids or hydrocarbons? Sapphire and Biolight claim they can convert naturally occurring lipids into hydrocarbons during the growth and harvesting phase, which cuts out a step. 4 points if you can do it.

10. Any industrial partners or strategic investors: 5 points if so. Martek Biosciences, which has made food supplements for years, recently cut a fuel deal for fermentation with BP.

Score:

68 to 50: You can grow multiple strains of extremely greasy algae in open ponds that shed water and oil. You also don't exist yet.

50 to 40: Congratulations! You're in the top rank of algae companies and probably have raised money.

40 to 30: Hope exists, but a merger may await

30 to 20: Like the products you grow, you are part of the unwashed masses.

20 to 0: He's just not that into you. Drop him like a hot potato.

Image via lovelydead / Creative Commons

Comments [4]

  • Adam Rentschler 08/19/09 10:52 AM

    This is a creative approach to helping an outsider (like me) better understand the options an algae startup has.

    BUT, your score isn’t just “hypothetical” it sweeps the complex interplay between these choices under the rug. What matters, after all, is how a given startup’s algae fuel competes with hydrocarbon- and biofuel-based substitute products **in the market.**

    Reply
  • russ 08/19/09 11:00 AM

    Hi Michael - think you are being nice to them - right now 20 points for the best until somebody starts to show a commercial product that makes sense.

    Personally I follow Will Rodgers advice - ‘Real estate - I got it on good authority they ain’t makin any more of it’! Not so good today but next year!

    Reply
  • FDDoty 08/19/09 2:53 PM

    I’d think you’d be able to come up with a substantive, recent reference or two.

    The best results I’ve seen thus far from attempts at large-scale algae production (HR BioPetroleum) achieved 422 GJ/ha/yr total bioenergy in their best year – 2001.  That project cost over $20M.  Still, they apparently didn’t have the resources to actually make fuel from the algae.  Had they been able to do so, they probably could have achieved about 500 gal/acre for one year, and very little in subsequent years.  $40,000/gal won’t compete.

    How much money did GreenFuel waste?  I’m sure it was over $20M.  Possibly several times that.  (I didn’t spend much time trying to sort that out.)  From what I can tell, they probably produced under 2 tons of algae, which might make 250 gal of fuel.  $80,000/gal won’t compete.

    At least since the HRBP data was published in 2006 (and Krassen Dimitrov’s analysis of GreenFuel in 2007), it’s been clear to anyone who really understands the basic science and economics that photosynthetic algae will never get below $20/gal. 

    Are you aware of any company that has actually produced more than 300 gal/acre/year for more than one year? 

    A 2008 study in Bioenerggy Research by PM Schenk et al cites a wide range of recent cost estimates.  The one from the company they think might be closest to actual commercial production is Seambiotic Ltd (Israel).  It estimates production cost of its dried algae to eventually be $340/ton, and fuels from it would then compete when oil is over $200/bbl.  This paper was published Mar 2008.  There is still no evidence that they are anywhere close to commercial operation. 

    What is the current, cheapest price of bulk, dry, algae, as used in the food industry?  One reference (Yusuf Christi) put it at $2000/ton in 2006.  A WSJ reference a little over a year ago put it at $5000/ton. 

    A Feb 2009 white paper by Seambiotic puts the price of one type of widely sold food-supplement algae at $17,000/ton. Some major cost components are as follows:  labor, 45%; electricity, 16%; CO2,13%. 

    Seambiotic also reports that the only current commercially achieved and sustained algae cultivation is in China, and it yields 25 t/ha/yr dry matter, which is exactly the same as often reported for switchgrass.  They report a number of other relatively large scale efforts, but none achieves higher annual production.  They note that short-term production rates are often confused with long-term production capability.  They report seaweed costs range from $200 to $500/ton, but wild seaweed is not cultivated algae.

    The clincher:  Seambiotic’s 2009 white paper reports algae costs are currently over $5000/t.

    So apparently dry algae currently costs over $5000/ton.  Hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent over the past decade by supposedly smart companies trying to get its cost down, but with zero success.  At least a billion dollars will be spend over the next decade by dumb companies trying to get its cost down – trying the same things that have failed over the past decade.

    But if they can get the cost of algae down to $340/ton, algae-oil will be able to compete if oil is over $200/bbl. 

    Is it mostly stupidity, or corruption?

    No wonder there’s so much skepticism when real solutions (like windfuels) come along.

    Reply
  • tracy fitz 08/21/09 1:24 PM

    algae like soybeans and corn is alive and food for growing beings-
    spirulina is great food
    how about if we cut the number of steers and chickens and their poop, and places to graze, reduce carbon that way, eat the algae in stead and insulate our buildings with good envelopes that let water run off and have air circulation and natural light (saving on electricity and fossil fuel for heat and cooling-
    think globally and act locally, to conserve on fuel costs, set an example of zero foot print and sustainability- leaving the
    internet texting twittering kendling for books, to continue to be our communication gift in this millennium,
    placing premiums on joy and light as it passes between us
    creating all sorts of solutions (whether we are algae or people or rocks and crystals or machines

    Reply
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