Solyndra’s IPO Registration: By the Numbers

The devil is in the details and there aren’t a lot of product and cost details in the SEC IPO filing.

This year wasn't a great one for solar IPOs. Trony Solar, a Chinese developer of a-Si solar panels, is going to hold off on its IPO "until market conditions improve," while Specialized Technology Resources (STR), a maker of encapsulants for protecting solar cells in panels, went public in November but didn't get a strong reception for its stock.

And now, threatening to jump into these tepid waters is CIGS thin-film PV vendor Solyndra (see Solyndra Files to Go Public). And while you were Christmas shopping, we were reading this 190 page document.

There's talk in the blogosphere that this could be the beginning of a flood of greentech IPOs. Before we jump to rosy conclusions, let's take a look at some of the details in the S-1:

Principal Shareholders and Ownership Percentage:

Any event that awakens the solar and greentech IPO markets out of its torpor is welcome. But successful companies need profits or a road to profits. With no mention of Solyndra's panel price per watt and only a rough idea of its factory capex (Fab 2 is 500 megawatts at $1.38 billion = >$2 per watt, which is significantly more that c-Si or CdTe) there is not enough information to predict the success of this venture. It is all about cost in solar these days and Solyndra has not yet divulged that information.