Does Australia Have Too Much Rooftop Solar?

Wood Mackenzie’s Ben Kellison discusses Australia’s energy transition with Chloe Munro, former chair of the Australian Clean Energy Regulator, and GreenSync CEO Phil Blythe.

Due to its high penetration of behind-the-meter renewables and an energy-only market structure, Australia’s National Energy Market is on the cutting edge of the energy transition.

Late last month, Ben Kellison, Wood Mackenzie's head of grid edge research, sat down with Chloe Munro, former chair of the Australian Clean Energy Regulator, and Phil Blythe, founder and CEO of GreenSync, for a discussion on Australia's rapidly evolving power market.

Ms. Munro opens the conversation by noting that with now well over 2 million rooftop solar installations, Australia has "too much sun," and asks, "What do we do with it?"

The discussion, available as an audio file below, explores how Australia can continue to displace fossil fuel use in its power market and unpacks how consumer behavior, technology and platforms will allow the nation to soak up and utilize its vast renewable resources.

Key themes of the discussion include:

Listen now:

In a forthcoming report on the Australian power market, WoodMac's Kellison provides a few takeaways:

1. Intermittency, over-voltage, over-generation and negative pricing concerns will continue to grow as variable renewable energy capacity increases by 70% by 2024 across Australia.

2. Battery storage is one resource of many that will help address the scale of challenges introduced by 15 gigawatts of distributed solar and 39.6 gigawatts of variable renewable capacity in Australia.

3. Modern portfolios of flexible demand-side resources can address both traditional peak-load management use cases and supply volatility by shifting demand to follow supply.

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Ben Kellison is the head of Wood Mackenzie's Grid Edge research practice. Learn more about Wood Mackenzie's Grid Edge research here.