Executive Briefing: The Future of U.S. Solar

by Shayle Kann

Solar power is on an impressive growth streak in the U.S., having gone from 2 gigawatts of cumulative capacity at the end of 2010 to a likely 26 gigawatts at the end of 2015. More importantly, costs have fallen enough to make it clear that solar will play a meaningful role in the future of electricity in the U.S.

Scenario-Based Cumulative PV Capacity Growth, 2015-2030

U.S. Solar PV Growth Through 2030, Including Clinton Campaign Goal

For the solar industry, it is time to start thinking about the next order of magnitude. Solar generates approximately 1% of all electricity in the U.S. today, but there is a realistic path toward 10% over the next 10-15 years. That path is by no means guaranteed; solar faces both advantages and disadvantages as it begins to truly scale. This briefing highlights the key forces likely to push, or impede, solar growth in the coming years and identifies opportunities for the solar industry to ensure its future.

This free executive briefing is based on the keynote speech given at the U.S. Solar Market Insight 2015 conference. 

Shayle Kann Senior Advisor

Shayle Kann advises GTM Research, the market analysis, advisory and consulting division of Greentech Media. GTM Research analyzes and forecasts the dynamics impacting the transformation of the global electricity sector. An expert on next-generation energy, he has presented at conferences around the world, been featured in publications such as The Economist, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Forbes, Bloomberg, Reuters, and Financial Times, spoken at Harvard, Yale, MIT and Columbia, and testified in front of the U.S. House of Representatives.

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