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Smart Grid Finance Rundown: VCs and Congress Rock the Grid

Eric Wesoff: May 5, 2009, 8:30 AM

In 2004, the term “Smart Grid” didn’t really exist – despite the Demand Response successes of now-public firms like Comverge and EnerNoc. 

Fast forward five years and we’ve seen hundreds of millions of dollars of VC investment flow into a wide range of smart grid startups, essentially creating a new market and ecosystem from power generators to home networks. This year has gotten off to a slow investment start but that will change in the coming quarters.

Smart grid technology, investment, and infrastructure must emerge if the states are to meet their ambitious Renewable Portfolio Standards.

But beware. As Stephen Lee, the Senior Technology Executive for Power Delivery and Utilization at EPRI, the Electric Power Research Institute warns: Smart grid players must avoid the hype. “We are at the peak of the smart grid hype cycle. When Obama and Biden talk about the smart grid you know it’s being hyped,” Lee said.

 

2008 and 2009 Smart Grid M&A

In today’s difficult business environment we expect to see lots more M&A activity and consolidation.

 

VC Investment in the Smart Grid

Soaring energy costs, an aging electricity grid, national security concerns and government regulation are creating a boom in smart utility meters and the semiconductors that go into them.

Most smart grid investments don’t require hundreds of millions of dollars to create a factory. VCs look at the smart grid market as a capital efficient alternative to the capital-intensive wave of green investments of late.  Additionally the technology of the smart grid – wireless communications, mesh networks, semiconductor integration, and software – is a familiar vernacular to the VC community.

Look for big players like Intel, IBM, Cisco and Oracle to begin vying for a slice of the smart grid pie either through investment or acquisition.

What follows is a detailed list of smart grid VC investments since the first quarter of 2008.

 

Q4 2008 VC Investment in DR and Smart Grid

Smart metering in the U.S. currently has a low penetration, with ~6 percent of households having installed the technology in 2006. This is set to increase rapidly over the next few years with some forecasts for smart meter penetration to reach close to 90 percent of households by 2012.

 

Silver Spring’s $15 million investment comes on top of a $75 million Round D raised in October. In a good economy, Silver Spring would be a natural IPO candidate. Even in this economy -- Silver Spring could be the IPO that quenches the IPO drought later this year.

With large-scale contracts with utilities including Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (5 million customers), Florida Power & Light (4.5 million customers) and Pepco Holdings (1.9 million customers), Silver Spring is set to install its devices in millions of meters over the coming years.

Silver Spring’s competitors include smart meter vendors that provide networking and communications themselves – Itron, GE, Landis+Gyr, Sensus and Elster – as well as rival networking providers such as Aclara, Trilliant, Eka Systems and SmartSynch.

Shifting gears away from venture capital in smart grid, here’s a bit of info on legislation in smart grid. 

As testament to the policy shift in energy, today we have federal politicians with the will to advance a bill with “smart grid” in the title.

H.R. 1774, the Smart Grid Advancement Act looks to reduce peak demand and increase the deployment of smart grid technologies.

The bill incorporates smart grid features into labeling so consumers have the information to purchase smart grid capable products.  And the bill takes steps to reduce peak electricity demand. The Smart Grid Advancement Act directs states and load-serving entities to identify peak demand reduction goals based on an aggressive effort to adopt smart grid technologies.  Studies show that when implemented on a large scale, demand response could reduce electric costs by as much as $15 billion annually.

Final Word

The only way we can reach aggressive Renewable Portfolio Standards and exploit energy storage, distributed generation, PHEVs, demand response, and smart meters is through an integrated and intelligent grid.

But the entity we call a “Smart Grid” is more of a theoretical construct than a true engineering problem. In a perfect world we could build from scratch, a self-aware, self-healing, sensor-laden, robust and secure mesh network that allowed dynamic forward pricing to inform customer and utility energy usage and choices.

But in the real world – we are attempting to overlay intelligence on an antiquated legacy network that has many masters and many flaws.  Utilities tend not to move quickly and are slow to innovate. Legislation is slow and imperfect and standards often compete. 

Nevertheless, there is momentum in this field and VC funded startups like Silver Spring and Fortune 500 firms like IBM and Intel are starting to drag the utilities and the grid into the 21st century.

 

VC Doesn’t Scale

Eric Wesoff: May 4, 2009, 8:00 AM

VC Investment in Greentech 2005–2009

There are a lot of voices of late sounding the death knell for venture capital. The New York Times dusts this meme off every few years. One just has to have a good memory and ignore the nattering nabobs of negativity. They’re usually wrong.

Fred Wilson of Union Square Ventures has a different take. Wilson has crunched some numbers and claims that “VC doesn’t scale.”  He has determined that: “You cannot invest $25 billion per year and generate the kinds of returns investors seek from the asset class,” and that, “The number that the asset class can take on each year is around $15 billion to $17 billion. It's interesting to note that the industry raised $4.3 billion in the first quarter of 2009. That's a good thing. If we can keep it to that level, or less for a while, then we may be able to downsize and get returns back on track.”

Fred is right.

There has also been a sky is falling mentality in the greentech investment sector.  The bubble has burst, project finance money is gone forever, the end is nigh, etc.  These folks are wrong as well. 

Unsurprisingly, first quarter greentech investing was down. That makes sense if you’ve been paying attention to current events. But second quarter investment in greentech is already showing signs of a rebound and has gotten off to a roaring start with about $500 million in greentech VC invested in April alone.

Renewable energy, green and cleantech, ecologically sustainable technology and investment is at the beginning of a 20-year boom and there are going to be ups and downs along the way. Get used to it.

 

 

A Solar Building Design Portfolio

Eric Wesoff: May 1, 2009, 12:31 PM

Steven Strong and Luke McKneally of Solar Design Associates spoke at the American Institute of Architects (AIA) show in San Francisco this week about moving, “toward carbon neutral green design with renewable energy.”  Strong is a solar zealot and a pioneer in installing solar heating and power on homes and buildings as well as making these structures more energy efficient.

He began his career as an engineer working on the Trans Alaskan Pipeline from 1973 to 1974, which he likened to being, “like a kid in a candy store for a young engineer.”  But sobered by the oil scares precipitated by the Yom Kippur War, he went back to architecture school and started his solar design firm.

He has an absolutely impressive portfolio of solar installations to his credit.  Here is a quick tour of some of his work.

The Mountain Conservation Center in Northern New Hampshire

In a solar starved environment of 8,765 Degree Days (that’s not good) -- Strong helped design a 7,000 square foot carbon neutral facility, powered exclusively by solar with back up provided by a dead fall-fueled wood boiler.  The building is optimized for winter production and also uses solar thermal.  At the end of the year they are negative 490 kWh -- in other words, “The utility pays them.”  Strong adds, “If this can be accomplished in Northern New England -- it can be done most anywhere.”

The Lewis Environmental Center at Oberlin College

A net zero energy building built in partnership with William McDonough + Partners. The environmental studies building includes an organic water purifying system, a solar cell roof, and passive solar heating.

The Carlisle House

Strong’s firm helped build the first solar residence connected to the grid -- the Carlisle House in 1980.  Strong admits that “the house looks like a large solar array behind which a living space has been organized.”  Realize that this was done with solar panels with a conversion efficiency of 7 percent The building has super-insulated walls and ceilings.

Tiger Woods Learning Center, Anaheim Calif.

Incorporating thin-film curtain wall with varied transparency -- the structure is sloped and curved requiring BIPV modules of differing size and shape.

Discovery Center, Santa Ana, Calif.


Built in partnership with extreme architects, Arquitectonica, the entire South face of this big cube is thin film photovoltaics.  The installation crew was an all-volunteer-group and they did not miss a single electrical connection.

The Solaire, Battery Park City, NYC

Multi-family dwelling BIPV

Strong’s website shows many more of his award winning and trail-blazing installations.

I’ll leave you with a few more of his thoughts…

“Why aren’t we building PV arrays on freeway sound barriers? They are near the urban core, they have good foundations, the grid crosses the highway, and it’s is a very good use of land.”

And despite his solar zealotry, Strong insists that, “The building needs to be worthy of a solar investment.”  The dessert part is solar.  It’s hard to see designers getting excited about enhanced insulation levels or variable speed motor drives, low emissivity coatings on glazings. They can’t see these things and architects get very little direct credit for that.  But they can see solar.”

“Solar should be the last resort.  Why do architects want to go straight to the dessert?  There are hundreds of other strategies to make buildings perform.”

"The success formula for zero energy buildings is efficiency + efficiency + more efficiency + conservation and then adding renewables."

Energy Odds and Ends: Seaweed, Iraq, DOE and More

Eric Wesoff: May 1, 2009, 1:23 AM

Yes, But How Will This Impact the Price of My Sushi?

South Korea will invest $275 million over the next decade to grow seaweed forests off its coast and increase the country's ability to produce biomass energy. The biomass would be used to produce a target of 400 million gallons of ethanol per year by 2020 or roughly 10 percent of the country’s petroleum-based fuel usage.

Most of the algae farming and algae investments in the U.S. and Europe are focused on microalgae.  Seaweed, which is already sustainably farmed in Asia and is a multi-billion dollar market, is considered macroalgae.

$418 Per Gallon

According to Biofuels Digest, Professor George Poste of Arizona State University, a member of the Defense Science Board of Department of Defense, and an adviser to Burrill & Company, a VC firm, claimed that the cost of providing fossil fuels to the military in Iraq is $418 per gallon.  He believes that the Department of Defense is ready to invest in biofuels research to control the cost of fuels for troops in “forward areas.”

$777M for Energy Frontier Research Centers (EFRCs)
The White House announced that the U.S. DOE Office of Science will invest $777 million in 46 new Energy Frontier Research Centers (EFRCs) over the next five years.

Supported by funds from President Obama’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the EFRCs will bring together groups of leading scientists to address fundamental issues in fields ranging from solar energy and electricity storage to materials sciences, biofuels, advanced nuclear systems, and carbon capture and sequestration.

Demand Response Factoid

The cost of generating electricity during peak-demand periods can be up to 10 times more expensive than during other periods, and 100 hours of peak demand (about one percent of the hours in a year) can account for as much as 20 percent of annual electricity expenditures.

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