It’s a journalistic cliché to pile on the top 10 lists at the end of the year and we’re not above year-end clichés.
But here’s the problem—if we were to list the top 10 greentech investments of the year for 2008 we’d end up with nine solar deals and a biofuels deal which is kind of repetitive and not at all representative of the greentech sector.
So we’ll indulge ourselves, enlarge the list, and make room to include a water deal, a lighting deal, an automotive deal and a smart grid investment.
And allow us to announce…
The Top 21 Greentech Deals of 2008
As in 2007, solar was the dominant investment driver in greentech with more than a dozen solar firms winning funding rounds greater than $100 million. These large funding rounds occurred in the first three quarters of the year and for obvious reasons—we are probably not going to see that kind of flurry for a while.
Enormous funding rounds are not the typical M.O. for VCs -– building proprietary semiconductor factories is not what VCs consider “capital efficient.� But this size investment is required to work out the not trivial technical risks as well as scale to the production capacity needed to compete in this market.
Large capital requirements loomed regardless of PV material system being funded whether it was CIGS (Nanoslar, Miasolé, SoloPower, Solyndra, etc.), CadTel (AVA Solar), or amorphous silicon (Optisolar). These terms applied for solar thermal as well (eSolar, Brightsource, Solar Reserve, Solel).
This same capital intensity and scale was seen in the liquid fuels investments of Range Fuels and Amyris.
VC investment in cleantech in 2009 won’t be as dramatic as 2008 but will remain a brightspot in the VC universe. We expect a drop in the dollar amount but the number of deals should hold steady with a focus on storage, smart grid and energy efficiency.
Click here to view the full list.
Is there a killer app on the horizon for electronics makers?
Maybe, says Stephen Baker: high-definition videoconferencing.
Baker, an analyst at NPD Group and one of the most accurate in the business when it comes to identifying TV trends, says that the prices are coming down rapidly on high-end videoconferencing systems. These aren’t the choppy, slow systems that make everyone look like they are calling from a space station. He’s talking about the ones that provide clear, crisp streams of video of people on the other side of the planet. I’ve seen demos of these types of systems at Accenture and NHK and they are pretty cool.
A few years ago, Hewlett-Packard released systems that cost $500,000. Now, companies can put together a high-definition, high-bandwidth system for $50,000 to $75,000 thanks to Moore’s Law and economies of scale. That price includes the large screen TV, the networking equipment and other stuff. Consumers already have big screen TVs: The prices on the rest of the equipment would have to come down of course bu the fact that they own a TV already helps adoption.
Cheaper systems that could spark first phase of mass market adoption might be ready by 2011, he speculated.
“It is the only thing I see out there” that seems like a next big opportunity, he said.
How is this green? Well, it means there’s less travel. Rather than spend two days out of the office (and several hours at the airport flipping through a lot of magazines you didn’t even know existed) you can just do that 90 minute meeting by videoconference. Granted, you won’t be able to make faces or flip off the phone receiver anymore like you do during conference calls today, but it beats taking another short business trip.
Baker himself racked up 200,000 miles in the air this year, he admitted.
“It would be nice to have a teleprescence in my office,” he said.
Sony is showing off a lamp with photovoltaic dyes that can harvest energy from interior light, a somewhat rare bit of solar technology from the electronics giant. But chances are more solar news could follow.
The lamp, shown off last week at an eco products convention in Tokyo, contains the dye-powered solar cells in transparent side panels, according to a report on TechOn. The solar cells harvest power, store it in a small battery and the battery then is used to illuminate a decorative pattern in the panels. (See pictures at TechOn here.)
The module containing the dye-powered solar cells are only 4 percent efficient. One minute of battery power takes 15 minutes of exposure to light. Right now, Sony has no plans for selling the lamp. Still, Sony has achieved cell efficiencies of over 10 percent and module efficiencies of 8.2 percent in the laboratory.
Although Sony remains one of the largest consumer electronics makers in the world, you don’t hear the name much in solar. In some ways, that puts Sony in the minority when it comes to large Asian electronics makers. Samsung, LG, Kyocera Sharp and Panasonic are already large players in solar or have announced wide-ranging solar plans. Rival Panasonic just bought Sanyo, the world’s seventh-largest solar maker, this week. Solar prices are supposed to dip by 20 percent or so in 2009 as more production lines go live. There’s also a global recession. But the solar business will be around a long time. The PC industry didn’t get killed in the economic downturn of 1981 and 1982. And Sony doesn’t like being left out of markets their close rivals are doing well in.
If they started talking a bit more about solar at CES next month, it wouldn’t surprise me.
Microbes, clean coal, underground digestion. How could you not like Luca Technologies.
The company—which has discovered a strain of microorganisms that can convert coal into methane—has raised $75.9 million in a third round of financing, according to VentureWire. (subscription required.). In a nutshell, the microorganisms eat coal and methane comes out the other end, which is really the same thing that occurs when cows eat grass. Burning methane is cleaner than burning coal. Thus, Luca’s bugs can cut down the fumes and pollution from what is probably the inevitable continued consumption of coal.
The microbes can also eat dirty shale oil. They are anaroebic too.
This sort of biogenic production of methane is already taking place underground naturally, the company has said in published papers. Luca’s goal is to commercialize and standardize it. Microbes are the central players in a number of clean tech companies: Amyris, Genomatica, Cambrios, ZeaChem, Mascoma.
Cleanliness, however, is dependent on two factors: Can Luca get its microbes to make coal inside underground coal seams so they can avoid mining and can Luca capture the other gases that come out of the microorganisms?
In a lot of ways, Luca resembles Laurus Energy, which recently got money from Mohr Davidow. Laurus digs holes into the earth and converts coal to synthetic gases underground. No mining and dangerous gases are captured. Laurus, however, uses industrial equipment and not microbes.
If you are convinced that next year will be a painful one for solar, then check out the latest figures from market research firm iSuppli: Revenue for the global solar panel market is expected to plummet nearly 20 percent in 2009.
That would be a drop from $15.9 billion in 2008 to $12.9 billion in 2009, coming after solar panel companies have experienced eight years of growth.
Blame it on the oversupply of panels. There will just be too many companies making them and not enough demand to erect them all. The problem already has occurred: The industry produced 7.7 gigawatts worth of panels in 2008 but installed only about half of them, said iSuppli’s solar analyst Henning Wicht.
Wicht expects the gap to widen in 2009, when 11.1 gigawatts worth of panels could be produced while only 4.2 gigawatts will likely be installed. The average selling price for panels could drop to $3.10 per watt next year from $4.20 per watt in 2008.
Needless to say, companies with the manufacturing might to keep the costs low will do better.
Solar companies and analysts have been predicting an oversupply of polysilicon in 2009. Polysilicon is the main ingredient to produce most of the solar panels on the market today.
With cheaper polysilicon on the horizon and a growing number of new players entering the solar market, solar panel makers such as SunPower and Suntech also are expecting the panel prices to drop between 20 percent and 30 percent next year.
It’s another dismal day in the neighborhood.
Connecticut’s solar initiative—which had hoped to offer consumers subsidies for installing solar systems over the next two years, is out of cash six months into the project says the Green Inc. blog at the New York Times. The governor is trying to scrape a little cash together and the federal tax incentives passed in the week of the financial debacle could help, but installers are worried.
Spain went through a similar turmoil, which lead to an oversupply of panels. Connecticut is much smaller so the same won’t likely occur.
Meanwhile, Nikkei Net (subscription required) reports that Toyota may suffer a $1.67 billion (that’s U.S., not Yen) in fiscal 2008. It would be the company’s first since 1940.
Elsewhere, Green Car Congress says Australia wants to reduce carbon emissions to 5 percent to 15 percent below 2000 levels by 2020. That’s less ambitious than some plans—President elect Obama wants to cut them to 80 percent of 1990 levels by 2050—but that also makes the Australian ones more realistic. It will also have a carbon market by 2010.
Meanwhile, News.com writes about Alex Cheimets, a homeowner in Massachusetts who is covering his house with two layers of foam board to insulate it. It’s to save energy, not to win style points. This one seems weird to me. There are actually great insulating materials—such as aerogels—you can use on the inside of your home. But he is saving a lot of power.
At TechOn, check out a Q&A on Honda’s battery initiative.
And finally, VentureBeat has an interview with creamy-skinned VC Steve Jurveston on why cleantech will do OK in the downturn.
CSP Concentrating Solar Power
Despite the staggering capital requirements for the plant build-out, VCs have invested enormous amounts of early-stage funding in parabolic troughs, power towers, and Stirling engines. Once the technology is worked out, the challenge for these firms in 2009 is the financing of these billion dollar projects. VCs can’t do that without help from banks, PE investors, and government.
Ausra: Utility-scale solar thermal using a parabolic trough-based system with a “compact linear fresnel reflector" used in conjunction with a yet undisclosed thermal storage technology. Their most recent funding round was $60.6 million from KERN Partners, Generation Investment Management, Starfish Ventures, Khosla Ventures, and KPCB. Ausra’s first commercial CLFR project, in Australia, will augment power production at an adjacent conventional power station. The firm is also developing a 177MW CLFR power plant for PG&E in central California.
BrightSource Energy: Brightsource Energy is developing utility-scale heliostat/power tower plants using high-temperature solar thermal technology. In its prior incarnation 20 years ago as Luz, the team built over 350MW of solar thermal generation capacity. The firm has raised more than $150 million from investors including VantagePoint Venture Partners, Google.org, BP Alternative Energy, StatoilHydro Venture, Black River, Morgan Stanley, DBL Investors, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, and Chevron Technology Ventures. It has a PPA in place with California utility PG&E for 900MW of thermal power. Like any solar thermal technology driving a steam turbine the firm needs direct uninterrupted sunshine preferably at altitude, access to water, and access to transmission lines.
eSolar: With an April 2008 $130 million investment from Google.org, Idealab, and Oak Investment Partners, eSolar is building large scale (>46MW) heliostat/power tower systems. They claim that their differentiators include the use of smaller mirrors, designing the components to fit efficiently into shipping containers to keep transportation costs low, and pre-assembly at the factory to minimize on-site labor, resulting in a capital cost reduction compared to existing solar thermal power plants. eSolar has signed a PPA with SCE to build 245MW of concentrating solar plants in the Antelope Valley region of Southern California.
Heliofocus: In 2008 Heliofocus received a $20 million investment from Israel Corp Green (ICG) and Musea Ventures. Claiming high optical and high thermal efficiency, the company's system uses a large parabolic dish concentrating sunlight onto a receiver that feeds a turbo generator. HelioFocus looks to build both small modular plants as well as combined cycle solar power plants. Unlike dish Stirling, HelioFocus uses a gas turbine that can hybridize with natural gas.
Infinia: Infina closed a $57 million B Round in 2008 from investors Foxconn, GLG Partners, Vulcan Capital, Khosla Ventures, EQUUS Total Return, Idealab, and Power Play Energy. Infina uses a “free-piston" Stirling engine with a dish concentrator to produce 3kW of AC power. In 2007 Infinia acquired Stirling Cycles, a Stirling engine developer, as part of its $9.5 million Round A. (Stirling Cycles had been incubated by Idealab.) Targeted applications are micro-CHP, remote power, and tactical power.
Luz II: (an engineering and R&D subsidiary of Brightsource Energy) converts water to superheated steam in a heliostat/power tower architecture. The firm's first installation is being built in Israel as a pilot plant. A series of 100MW and 200MW commercial solar power plants are scheduled to come on line in 2010.
Menova Energy: Canadian CSP firm with at least $3.6M in VC funding and Canadian government funding.
RawSolar: The company's flagship product is a tracking mirrored parabolic dish that captures sunlight to produce steam or hot water.
Skyfuel: Parabolic trough solar collectors using light weight and potentially lower cost reflectors and materials. The company's reflective silvered-polymer film coating material allows for the elimination of glass mirrors in CST applications. It closed a $17 million Round B in April of 2008 led by Leaf Clean Energy.
Solar & Environmental Technologies: China-based CSP start-up reportedly with $3M from Hong Kong’s Entropy Ventures.
Solar Systems: Privately held Australian firm with a $100M investment from Australian utilities and private investors is currently using a dish-based CPV system but moving towards a power tower architecture(?). Solar Systems will work on the Alice Springs solar power station, which is proposing to produce 1800 megawatt-hours of electricity per year, as well as the 154MW, $420M NW Victorian project (using heliostats). Solar Systems placed a large (350MW 10 year) order with Spectrolab for III/V cells.
Solel: Israel’s Solel designs, manufactures and installs parabolic trough solar fields for large scale power generation as well as manufactures solar thermal receivers which use a synthetic oil as the heat transfer fluid. Ecofin, a U.K.-based investment manager, invested $105 million in Solel in early 2008. The company claims to have had over $450 million in backlog in 2008.
Sopogy: While most CSP companies focus on large-scale power generation, Sopogy is targeting “Micro CSP" in ranges from 200kW to 20MW with applications ranging from power generation to AC to process heat. Too large for small residences, too small for utilities, the size is just right for industry, apartment houses, and campuses. It raised ~$9 million in 2008 from Ohana Holdings, Bethel Tech Holdings, Energy Industries Holdings, Kolohala Holdings, Black River Asset Management, et al. Hawaii’s state legislature approved ~$35 million in bonds for Sopogy to build and operate a local solar plant. The firm looks to close another VC round in early 2009.
Starpoint Solar: Starpoint Solar has developed a Stirling Dish technology claiming to generate electricity at half the cost of other solar technologies with production costs equal to new gas-fired power plants. Starpoint is negotiating an LOI for a PPA with Inland Energy. The firm is looking to raise $10M to construct a 4-unit demonstration solar field and prepare for its initial 50MW solar plant.
Stirling Energy Systems: SES proposes to build 30,000 40 foot-wide mirrored dishes focused on 25kW Stirling engines in California’s Imperial Valley to fulfill a contract with San Diego Gas & Electric, enabling SDG&E to meet their 2010 RPS. Transmitting the power will depend on whether Sunrise Powerlink, a proposed 1,000MW power line, gets approved and built. In April of 2008, Irish developer and operator, NTR bought a stake from initial investors for $100 million and will supposedly be investing another $100 million in 2009. Stirling has a contract to provide 300MW to SDG&E by the end of 2010, and an additional 600MW if and when Sunrise is built.
Sundrop Fuels: Solar thermal systems that produce hydrogen and electricity via Solar Reduction of Carbon Dioxide, or Solarec. According to Venture Beat, Sundrop received a $20M investment from KPCB in early 2008 and is also backed by Sun Mountain Capital and Oak Investment Partners.
That wraps up our series on solar startups. Check out the other parts of the series here:
Let us know if we've missed any, your picks for winners and losers, and any comments you might have.
Greentech Media's Green Light blog covers the full-scope of the greentech world, while expanding the range of our daily news reporting with brief and insightful blog posts from our Greentech Media editors, GTM Research analysts and numerous guest bloggers.