• Tuesday, June 24, 2008 Latest Update: 2:12PM

Greentech Solar

Scientific Debate Gets Complicated

Short-seller advocate Manuel Asensio says he was uninvited to a conference at which Timminco's Becancour Silicon CEO was speaking.

It was gearing up to be a heated debate, with plenty of fireworks.

Two scientists from Timminco’s metallurgical-silicon subsidiary, Becancour Silicon, are scheduled to speak Wednesday afternoon at the biennial Silicon for the Chemical and Solar Industry conference in Norway.

Short-seller advocate Manuel Asensio, who enjoys a good debate, was looking forward to it.

Timminco has so far kept quiet about the technology behind its claims that it has developed a process to make solar-grade silicon out of dirtier metallurgical-grade silicon at lower costs than its competitors. The company has drawn both enthusiastic support and skepticism from industry insiders amid speculation about whether it’s for real.

Asensio counts decidedly among the skeptics. He himself is a controversial figure, with whole Websites dedicated to both admiring and discounting him (see Asensio Exposed, Asensio Exposes, a Forbes story about Asensio and his record with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority).

Asensio has released some 28 research notes on Timminco, that are all negative about the stock.

The presentation, “Process and apparatus for purifying silicon,” by Becancour Silicon CEO Rene Boisvert and another presenter only identified as D. Leblanc, could shed some light on the secret process.

And Asensio planned to be there with plenty of questions.

“I was invited,” he said. “I accepted the invitation. My acceptance was confirmed.”

Then, on Friday, he received an email from the conference chairman, Harald Øye, asking him not to attend.

The letter, forwarded from Asensio, purportedly ran as follows:

“I have been informed by Becancour Silicon Inc. that we have to make a choice between you attending the conference and Becancour Silicon Inc., GK Kropfmuhl and Q-Cells. As these companies have been long-time supporters of the conference, I have to inform you regretfully that you cannot attend the conference.”

In his response, Asensio wrote that the request was a move to “oppress the free exchange of ideas” and offered to provide questions in writing or appear by phone or teleconference.

“Timminco has gone to great lengths to appear to be open while refusing to provide the necessary support to substantiate [its] claims,” he wrote. “This I was looking forward to examining any new specifics in a forum where vague generalities should not be tolerated and where the claims’ veracity should be discussed.”

Neither Øye nor Boisvert responded to calls or emails about the matter.

But Robert Dietrich, chief financial officer and executive vice president for finance at Timminco, called Asensio’s attendance of the conference “a nonissue.”

“In the grand scheme of things, this won’t change the world,” he said.

Dietrich, who isn’t participating in the conference, was unable to confirm whether Becancour had asked for Asensio to be barred from the conference, as Øye’s letter states. But he said decisions about attendance were most likely to be up to the conference organizers, rather than the speakers.

Still, Timminco is clearly no fan of Asensio’s.

“We took grave exception to comments he made about our company,” Dietrich said. “It’s no secret that the interest of Manuel Asensio and the company are opposite. We have different interests – we are trying to run our business and he has an interest in being negative to our company. Why would we care too much about what he does or doesn’t do?”

In the last couple of months, the company had announced silicon supply agreements with Calisolar, Canadian Solar, Q-Cells and Solar Power Industries (see Timminco Shares Down Despite Deal With Canadian Solar).

In May, Timminco said that an independent review by Photon Consulting had verified its claims. Meanwhile, a story in the Globe and Mail that month suggested the stock could be overvalued.

Earlier this month, Timminco filed a lawsuit against a fund manager, Ravi Sood, and his firm, Lawrence Asset Management, for libel after Sood allegedly called the company “virtually worthless” (see Timminco Sues for Libel). And the Financial Post reported that two enforcement agencies, the Ontario Securities Commission and the Integrated Market Enforcement Team, are investigating trading in Timminco shares.

Comments [3]

  • STeve Olberg 06/24/08 7:01 PM

    Based on Asensio.com long track record, I would have to believe Asensio vs. Heinz Schimmelbusch because Heinz’ track record is not good based on media reports. Also, the fact that Timminco does not want Asensio at the conference is a huge red flag to any investor. Despite crushing the shorts with their recent stock move, why does Timminco still fear what he has to say?? If they are comfortable with their current stock price (assuming it is a fair price based on their earning capability), why do they fear Asensio?

    Reply
  • Steve Pluvia 06/30/08 6:16 AM

    Asensio’s research has always been, in our opinion, sub-par.  As fellow shorts, we have followed his work with interest and amusement over many years.  We have rarely been impressed with the quality of information he uses to support his short positions.  We don’t know if Asensio is right or wrong on Timminco, only that, as usual, he has presented no hard supporting facts, and he’s been dead wrong on the stock price which has thus far squashed him like a grape. 

    Steve Pluvia

    Reply
  • Tony Jones 06/30/08 4:30 PM

    @ Steve Pluvia

    Who is we and what information have you been tracking re Timminco? I beg to differ on Asensio at large. He generally gets it right but that doesn’t mean that the shorts win. Look at Einhorn with Allied capital. He was dead right and the stock still hasn’t collapsed. Look at Chanos over at Kynikos of Enron fame. He says the hardest part about being a short is being told you are wrong twenty times every day, day after day.

    I’m sure you know all this but you present yourself as if the shorts always win—even when they are right. This is simply not the case but if you (or we as it were) were an active short you would know this.

    Reply
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