• Wednesday, February 27, 2008 Latest Update: 3:43PM

Greentech Solar

Inventory Concerns Keep Haunting LDK

After LDK's margins fall in the fourth quarter, analysts say they are still concerned.

LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK) might have thought its problems were over in December, when an independent audit cleared it of allegations that it misstated its silicon inventory (see Independent LDK Audit Finds No Material Errors).

But analyst reports following fourth-quarter results posted Monday made it clear that the cloud of suspicion around the company hasn’t dissipated.

In a research note Tuesday titled "Inventory questions resurface following 4Q07 results," Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Adam Hinckley wrote that the firm has questions about LDK’s inventory management.

"Concerns over inventory and cash flow, coupled with management’s evasiveness to questions, are likely to cause a negative share price reaction," he wrote. "Firm believes investors will be disappointed by the unchanged 2008 guidance and management’s evasiveness to questions related to changes in inventory, [capital expenses] and financing sources for the aggressive expansion plans."

Piper Jaffray lowered its price target from $34.50 to $27 per share, reiterated its Sell rating, and wrote that "uncertainties persist" and that a "lack of management clarity" will lower share prices.

Lazard Capital, which maintained its Hold rating, wrote that the stock "will likely come under pressure on inventory/margin concerns" and its ability to raise capital for its silicon plant. 

Analysts also expressed confusion about LDK’s inventory accounting in a conference call Monday, according to the Associated Press.

Not all analysts reacted the same way, however.

Needham & Co. reiterated its Strong Buy rating in a research note Tuesday, calling LDK "grossly undervalued" with solid supply agreements and an impressive customer base.

And Goldman Sachs, which upgraded the stock from Sell to Neutral last week, apparently hasn’t changed its mind.

LDK posted a fourth-quarter net income of $49.2 million, or 44 cents per share, beating analyst expectations of 41 cents per share. But the company disappointed investors with a gross margin of 30.1 percent, which fell from 30.8 percent in the third quarter and 42.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2006, even though the margin beat analyst expectations of 29.3 percent.

The company hinted that margins were falling in its guidance last month (see LDK 2008 Guidance: Higher Revenues, Lower Margins).

LDK shares fell 6 percent to $30.46 per share Tuesday and an additional 8.8 percent to $27.77 per share Wednesday.

Company officials weren’t immediately available to comment.

Comments [6]

  • John Meyer 02/27/08 4:56 PM

    While I understand that reporting solid earnings, attractive guidance, and essentially blowing away analysts with quarterly results lacks the punch it used to, a devastating sell-off in the last two sessions due to Lazard, Piper Jaffray, and Oppenheimer reckless positions of “concern” is libelous to say the least.

    LDK and their management team have answered every single question not once, but twice in regards to inventory. Now, two months after Jesse Pichel was forced to eat a “clean audit report” worth of crow, here he is at it again.
    Piper Jaffray needs to reconsider the employment options that they honor with Jesse. His track record is one of disdain for any company, or manager who he “does not understand” a.k.a. lacks clarity, and frankly, among us professionals is embarrasing Piper Jaffray. Further, before too much is made out of anything, there were incredibly suspicious levels of trading occurring with LDK in after hours, and during the subsequent mornings pre-market which indicates to me and others that some insider information regarding bias, and imminent downgrades had been made available to “others” before it was made available to the public.

    Jesse Pichel is offering completely biased information, is linked to other groups which would stand to lose as foreign interests improve, and has a history with Piper Jaffray which is spotty and reeks of previous “suspicious” activity. Jesse Pichel, ring-led Oppenheimer, and Lazard analysts, and they too should be embarassed for being followers who now appear to be among the select few who will mistreat a great company for personal gain.

    I am

    Reply
  • Daniel Stair 02/27/08 6:15 PM

    This article is one that should be referred to any attorneys or investigators currently looking into taking potential legal action against Piper Jaffray, Lazard and others who may have blatently abused and manipulated this company’s share price for their own financial gain.

    Personally, I would not want my name on a story like this, as it is just asking to be included as evidence in future legal proceedings and is obviously biased toward negativity based only on unsubstantiated speculation.  This story includes attempts at justification for the downgrade by two analysts, but does not give equal justification for the upgrades or more positive outlooks of other analysts.  According to the Jaywalk Concensus, far more analysts rate this company as a neutral or a buy.  Why does this story not cover those opinions in proportional fair detail?  Furthermore, why does this story feature a negative tone in its headline, as if the opinions of the few negative analysts are the only ones that matter?

    To the best of my knowledge, there are no financial figures, or any other sound evidence to backup the “concerns” mentioned in this article.  In fact, there is much more evidence that contradicts such concerns over inventory accounting issues, as this has been professionally reviewed at LDK’s great expense.  I would imagine LDK’s attorneys also have handy access to this information.

    LDK Solar has done NOTHING to deserve any of the allegations made against them in this story or in recent days, and for this writer to take such a biased, negative approach to LDK as a company is irresponsible, disgraceful and unprofessional.  It is a writer’s obligation to provide complete, accurate, unbiased content.  That is certainly not the case with this story.

    Reply
  • Scott Ballard 02/28/08 3:20 AM

    LDK is one of the best companies. Everyone knows what PJ is.

    Inventory has nothing to do with the lies propagated to manipulate a stock that will be worth more than FSLR in the future.

    Ldk can get the cost down so we can all purchase solar panels.

    It’s un American, due to the fact that we Americans want low cost solar and the Chinese can help us get it. We must do what ever we can to stop oil dependency and stop the wars.

    In the end people will wake up to the fact that LDK is a great company that will serve the world well.

    Reply
  • Scott Ballard 02/28/08 3:27 AM

    What I meant to say clearer:

    We must do what ever we can to support companies that can get as many solar panel,wind turbines,wave tech and energy saving devices on our properties as fast as possible.

    It not only the American thing to do, it the obligation of everyone on this planet.

    Reply
  • Scott Ballard 02/28/08 3:31 AM

    It’s not only the American thing to do, it’s the obligation of everyone on this planet.

    Support all sustainable renewables ASAP.

    Rid ourselves of crude oil dependency ASAP.

    Reply
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