Can the U.S. or California Institute a Feed-In Tariff?

The “Renewable Portfolio Standard in California has failed.”  The way to grow the PV market in the U.S. is with a Feed-in Tariff, according to the FIT Coalition.

Can the U.S. or California Institute a Feed-In Tariff?

The U.S. still doesn't really have an energy policy.  Aside from the desire to keep petroleum costs low.

And the U.S. solar market remains thwarted by tight financing, fragmented policies, and spotty permitting, as well as restrictive access to public lands.  Arguably, policy trumps technology in matters of energy, and the U.S. has a long way to go in developing a favorable energy and solar policy.

Ted Ko of the FIT Coalition spoke on Wednesday night at the SVPVS at PARC in Palo Alto to advocate for feed-in tariffs as the best policy to get solar into the U.S. market, offering a specific advocacy for Wholesale Distributed Generation.   

Ted Ko is Associate Executive Director at the FiT Coalition, serving along with Craig Lewis of RightCycle.          

Ko, the FiT Coalition, and Craig Lewis' consultancy, RightCycle, all advocate for WDG (Wholesale Distributed Generation) -- deployments under 20 megawatts with the energy sold to the utility.  These WDG deployments are on the distribution grid, not the transmission grid, and as such, don't require transmission build-out.

Ko claims that there is significant locational benefit to WDG, and that this value often doesn't seem to get recognized.  Ko claims that distribution-interconnected generation is 35 percent more valuable than transmission-interconnected generation because of low transmission losses and not having to build out the transmission grid.

Ko goes so far as to claim that the "Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) in California has failed."  He bolsters his argument with this data: California's renewable energy piece was 14 percent of the energy mix in 2003 and actually dropped down to 13 percent in 2008.  Further, he asserts that there is little chance that will California achieve its goal of 20 percent in 2010 and 33 percent in 2020.

Ko adds that the RPS has been a failure from a solar standpoint (although the RPS doesn't count rooftop PV), with only a few large PV projects currently up and running in the state.  According to the speaker, solar's best bet is "smaller projects that can get us there fast with no transmission lines and can deliver 5 percent ratepayer savings."
 
The answer, according to Ko, is getting a feed-in tariff imposed in California and in the U.S.  Ko defined the feed-in tariff as a predefined, pre-approved PPA between renewable energy generators and utilities.  He called it "the most effective policy in the world for getting cost-effective renewable energy online. It's simple, fair and effective."

In California, the 2008 IEPR recommended instituting FiTs. The IEPR is a bi-annual report published by the California Energy Commission.

The FiT Coalition is pushing for REESA, the Renewable Energy and Economic Stimulus Act, to include a feed-in tariff.  The Coalition claims that the FiT can make the the 33 percent RPS real, on schedule, and achievable.

According to Ko, "a FiT is the reason that Germany installed fifteen times more solar than California." He also asserts that "Germany is the gold standard for FiTs."

According to Ko, Retail Distributed Generation (RDG) and Net Metering models fail to deliver.  Retail DG doesn't count to the RPS and ultimately doesn't amount to much.  Even the multi-gigawatt California Solar Initiative (CSI) doesn't make a dent.  He asserts that there are a lot of places that just don't work for net metering: multi-tenant buildings, etc.

He claims that FiTs are an easy choice. They reduce parasitic transaction costs (paperwork and permitting time, basically) -- which can add 10 percent on the ratepayer cost for California projects versus German ones.  In Germany, the required paperwork amounts to a four-page process, according to Ko.

Here's a list of some FIT or FIT legislation activity in progress:

Municipalities

  • Gainesville, FL enacted a German style FiT in early 2009, which is sold out to 2016. This municipality has high rates in the 26 to 32 cent range.
  • California's SMUD launched a massive FiT early this year with low rates in the 14 to 15 cent range.
  • Discussions for FiTs are in the early stage with Palo Alto, California and several local utilities in Colorado.

States and Provinces

  • Vermont enacted the first statewide FiT in mid-2009.
  • Ontario, Canada has just enacted a comprehensive FiT.
  • REESA and AB1106 are now active in California.

National

  • HR6401 (Inslee) will be re-introduced in mid-2010.

Germany is experiencing a bit of a feed-in tariff backlash as their citizenry reacts to FiT dollars going to Chinese, rather than German, solar module manufacturers.  FiTs can also be construed as a tax -- and that's political poison in the U.S.

Gary Kremen, solar entrepreneur and founder of Clean Power Finance, had this to say on the subject: "FiTs are great if they are a long-term commitment on the part of government and utilities. Off-and-on FITs make planning and the mandatory required financing hard, if not impossible."

 

 

Quick Acronym Review

  • DG - Distributed Generation
  • RDG - Retail DG behind the meter, net metered
  • WDG - Wholesale DG, 20 megawatts and under, connected to the distribution grid not the transmission grid, close to the load but not behind the meter, all energy sold to the utility -- Potential WDG market 100X bigger than RDG market size
  • FIT - Feed in Tariff = predefined, pre-approved PPA between RE generators and utilities.  
  • RPS - Renewable Portfolio Standard

28 Comments

  • John Barnes 04/15/10 1:45 PM

    As a member of the FIT coalition I strongly agree that only WDG with an appropriate FIT progam will produce the massive amounts of solar PV to allow CA to reach the required RPS goals.

    Ted and Craig work tirelessly to make legislation happen and deserve the support of all interested in this FIT effort in CA and other parts of the US.

    Reply
      • John 04/15/10 3:12 PM

        Renewable portfolio standards, with proper requirements by the appropriate Commissions, would certainly drive down costs of solar below FIT prices through competition.  FIT’s are terrible policies that result in inefficient projects and windfalls at every step of the value chain at the expense of rate/taxpayers.  Anyone can execute a project and there is little incentive for innovation when the price is fixed by bureaucrats who have little knowledge of all of the moving parts that go into energy prices.

        The problem isn’t with RPS’s; it’s with how the Utilities and the various Commissions are not requiring developers to put their money where their mouth is.  If a Utility truly wanted to buy power from a low cost, VIABLE project, they would require proposal winners to post credit in large sums so there is a large penalty for not delivering.  Whether the Utilities do this themselves or Commissions require them to do so, projects would get built and at costs much lower than the FIT’s.

      • Dell Jones 04/16/10 10:54 AM

        I think the over all goal of increasing renewable deployment is not being debated - however the all in levelized cost of solar electricity is 3 and4 time more expensive than photovoltaics compared to solar thermal.  So as a rate payer or tax payer I would rather see 500 solar water heaters be installed with a capacity of 1 MW than something that cost 7 times more with the same energy and environmental impact. 

        The PV industry is booming and the solar thermal industry is lagging simply because much of the policy people are focusing on renewable electricity and not renewable energy.  And by the way you can meter and measure solar thermal energy and if fact there are programs like Lakeland Elecrtric / Regenesis’ that solar thermal energy measured in kWh to consumers as an alternate to gas or electric water heating.

  • John Barnes 04/15/10 1:51 PM

    As a member of the FIT coalition I strongly agree with Ted that only a reasonble FIT program for WDG can allow CA to reach the requirement for the 33% RPS standard.

    Ted and Craig and the FIT coalition need everyone’s help to make better legislation happen in CA in 2010.

    Reply
  • Phil Manke 04/15/10 2:40 PM

    We must certainly keep this valuable movement in mind as we approach the states new election cycles. Fit’s are the only positive economic way to move into renewable energy. Lenders will also get on board with agressive program potentials for the populace.
    Any program to move in a new direction that threatens the status quo will seem to have a monetary cost and must include the call to see the bigger picture of long term sustainability and peaceful outcomes.
    Remember, the ego does not want peace, and will find any way to summon the thoughts of fear. There can be no lack in a peaceful world seen with a peaceful mind.

    Reply
  • Rob Powell 04/15/10 2:44 PM

    Ko makes some great points about cost effectiveness of WDG.  However, shouldn’t states act independently to enact FITs?  I expect many states low population and/or relatively low electricity prices to view a national FIT as a regressive tax.

    Reply
  • Fredo Corleone 04/15/10 2:49 PM

    Well,  the FIT rate increase can always be passed on to the consumer and there are some big benefits….for example, peak power load spikes tend to occur on warm sunny days where solar energy provides an offset…fewer blackouts.

    Reply
  • Mike Keller 04/15/10 5:18 PM

    The solar energy industry can not compete in the power market, so let’s subsidize them (aka “bailout”).  After all, consumers and taxpayers have deep pockets. Oops, not anymore. Lot’s of them are now out of work, compliments of pinhead federal and state politicians.

    Some up front help with financing is reasonable, but after that sink or swim in the marketplace.

    Reply
  • Frank T. Manheim 04/15/10 5:36 PM

    The California and FIT issues bring up comparisons between U.S. and EU progress in renewable energy. The U.S. has a generic problem of short-range, single-issue thinking in comparison with that in leading EU nations*. 

    Germany’s feed-in tariff helped it gain world leadership in solar photovoltaic energy development - in spite of less favorable solar irradiation than the U.S. But U.S. policymakers have apparently seen FIT and other foreign advances major as “magic bullets” for possible application here. Broader German policies that made the growth in solar PV possible are ignored.

    The reality is that the Germans were under no illusions that solar, wind, and biomass, etc. would catalyze a “new self-sustaining green industry” as the case continues to be made in the U.S. Their primary motivation was concern about global climate change - heightened after the Greens joined coalitions in parliament. They were able to afford the major investments and subsidies, which they sought to apply intelligently and in consistent ways (no on and off policies as in the U.S. ),  because of Germany’s revenues from conventional industry.

    Unlike the U.S.‘s unilateral policies regarding environment, Germany and the other 26 EU nations have adopted the “sustainable development”  concept popularized by the U.N. Brundtland Commission Report of 1987. It recognizes that only prosperous nations can afford the large investments and intensive research needed for progress in reducing greenhouse emissions. So, for example there are some 20 German universities with major programs in machine tool production. Their close ties with private industry help maintain German world leadership in this critical area of manufacturing.

    In contrast, the U.S. Congress responded to a 1970s sense of environmental crisis by selectively imposing a labyrinthine regulatory system on U.S. manufacturing, industry, and land use. Along with a stigma on “conventional industry”, the costs and increased legal and political risks in these areas diverted U.S. business talents and money to less affected areas like real estate, finance and foreign investments, including import-based marketing.

    These policies have now boomeranged on U.S. global climate change policies - impeding renewable energy initiatives which - if they are to be implemented at all - need to be implemented with imported products.

    Europe gets an unjustified bad press in the U.S. I predict that things will not get better until we take off the America-centric blinders and start learning from the experience of other nations - as the U.S. was willing to do in the past.


    *The Conflict over Environmental Regulation in the United States: Origins, Outcomes, and Comparison with the EU, 321 p., Springer 2009.

    Reply
  • Mike Keller 04/15/10 10:16 PM

    A “self-sustaining” green industry can only exist as aided and abetted by massive government subsidizes and significantly higher costs to industry and the consumer, as the German and European models clearly demonstrate.

    Solar and renewable energy need to stand on their own two feet. If competitive (and they can be in certain situations) then green energy will grow and prosper. If not, then money should move to more profitable investments.

    The “climate change” problem will be overcome as a byproduct of the ingenious and efficient use of energy, as driven by the desire to profit. Diverting money to poor solutions (created by politicians distorting markets to “buy” votes) only worsens the underlying problem, namely the need for reasonably priced energy so mankind can proper.

    If the state of California wishes to emulate socialist Europe, by all means, knock yourselves out. However, kindly do so with money filched from your own citizens and leave the rest of us alone.

    Reply
      • Michael H 04/16/10 12:42 PM

        And the oil industry is “self-sustaining”?  And the coal industry sustains itself at the expense of our common health?

        Without the massive subsidy of projection of military force into the middle east, the oil business gets a lot pricier.  And with regulators looking away, our coal-fueled electricity industry continues to impose massive costs on us.

        You are providing us with a formula for continued dependence on fossil fuels, for which you could sign up as a lobbyist with this type of comment.

      • Telemann 04/17/10 9:33 PM

        Mike, if Germany and Scandinavia socialist, how can their companies beat our brains out, amassing big trade surpluses, why don’t they have our top-down regulatory system with 100,000 regulations (in Sweden and Finland everything is decentralized) , Why does little Finland have the biggest cell phone manufacturer and dominate cruise liner production, as Denmark dominates container shipping and wind turbines?

  • German Wholesale 04/16/10 11:18 AM

    Our team monitors all tariffs continually and updates where required to ensure our tariff information is accurate and comprehensive. German Wholesale

    Reply
  • disdaniel 04/16/10 2:17 PM

    I wouldn’t mind a national FIT that was phased out as solar penetration grows.  A modest 20-22c/kwh nationwide FIT (i.e. 2x the national average price), that is reduced in steps after we get 1% of our power from solar and completely goes away after we reach ~5%.

    Reply
  • rooferguy 04/17/10 6:02 PM

    California had a Feed in Tariff.  The rate was set too low so it didn’t work.  For almost 10 years California has had net metering with rebates or performance based incentives.  As a result, California is by far and away the biggest solar market in the U.S.  New Jersey is second — also with net metering and rebates/RECs.

    FITs work in Germany for two simple reasons.  First, the rate is set VERY high — so high that a “solar” investment is better than just about any other financial instrument.  Second, the German government provides automatic loans through the KfW bank to offset the initial costs of any solar system.

    If in the U.S. we decide to set a FIT at a very high rate then the policy could work.  But legislators and utilities don’t want to do this — instead, they want to set rates at less than the existing retail rate of electricity.  A low FIT won’t generate demand, and a high FIT will cost a lot to ratepayers (much more than a comparable tax credit without the long term burden).  Second, the U.S. government would have to create an automatic financing mechanism for FIT systems.  That way customers could afford the up front capital.

    A FIT without automatic financing will fail — or will simply provide advantages to solar financing companies.  A low FIT will simply fail, and if implemented at the expense of successful tax credit and rebate programs, it will stall the solar market.

    Reply
  • Jim 04/17/10 8:43 PM

    FIT’s are a disaster both for business progress and for ratepayers.

    While the RPS process has some issues—the tight credit market has squeezed out players who didn’t allow for it—by putting market power in the utilities hands it creates competition which drives innovation and lowers prices.  The 20x drop in the cost of wind power is a great result.

    The market already prices time-of-delivery so that solar technologies are being carried forward by the RPS.  With more than 6000 MW of PPAs signed for California utilities, calling the RPS a “failure” is deceptive at best.

    Sure, if I was in the rooftop PV business I’d love to see the same kind of market conditions as Germany.  But we can either have a lot of low-cost renewable power, or a much smaller amount of high-price power.

    The FIT crowd are shills for Big PV.  Zero benefit to climate, innovation, or the economy going down this route.

    Reply
  • russ 04/18/10 11:37 AM

    @ Jim - Fully agreed!

    The German FİTs were a sop to the green party when it was in the governing coalition and now that they are gone the rates will be reduced as rapidly as possible.

    Reply
  • Mike Keller 04/18/10 12:54 PM

    The fundamental issue remains. Why should the taxpayer/consumer be forced to provide money (i.e. a feed-in tariff) to cover the operating costs of power producers who are unable to compete in the marketplace? Simply drives up costs for the monetary benefit of a few while eroding everyone else’s ability to earn a profit.

    Reply
  • JoeJoe 04/18/10 1:08 PM

    The German FiT moreorless single-handedly led to the development of a dedicated supply of polysilicon… It has led to production of panels expanding dramatically which by extension to the cost of PV falling precipitously… It has shown the world how cheap installation can get once you insert competition and maintain stable policies… All these things are because of Germany’s FiT. Was it expensive? Yes, but the rewards of PV make the risk look frivolous. Here’s a technology that can displace at least 5 to 10% (bare minimum) of the most expensive electricity we use and we don’t need to change much except to mount an appliance on our roofs. There are also a ton of potential applications in the developing world - an absolute ton.

    ”..and now that they are gone the rates will be reduced as rapidly as possible.”

    That’s not what’s going on. Competition drove the price of PV down dramatically in 2009. The FiT is/was too rigid to adapt to the new price levels and had to be adjusted to market conditions. Had the previous administration stayed in power they would have had to institute a similar correction.

    There are over 200 GW of wind projects in the queue. Are they all getting built? Not a chance… There are a half dozen COLs out for new nuclear builds. Are any of those plants getting built? Doubtful. PG&E has signed a deal for space power. Is that going to happen? No way. Press releases are deceptive at best.

    Reply
  • disdaniel 04/18/10 3:29 PM

    Mike Keller says ” Why should the taxpayer/consumer be forced to provide money (i.e. a feed-in tariff) to cover the operating costs of power producers who are unable to compete in the marketplace?”

    Why should the taxpayer/consumer be forced to pay for the negative health consequenses of burning fossil fuels (mining, transport, emissions from burning and waste disposal)?  29 miners died earlier this month so we can continue to pretend that coal is cheaper than it really is. 
    When there are so many large externalities with fossil fuels, how can you argue that incentives for a cleaner and safer energy source are misplaced?

    Reply
      • Energy_PE 04/24/10 9:03 AM

        The proper solution is to require every energy source to fully pay for its externalities. Then the market will select the most efficient technology from a total system perspective. No massive bureaucracies, taxes, and other inefficiencies are needed. In such a system, nuclear is the clear winner, since all its externalities are already fully included in the price. No responsible engineer considers waste recycling/disposal a significant problem, and irrational fears of radiation are technically insupportable. (n.b. there are plenty of irresponsible people calling themselves ‘scientists’ who spread bald faced lies about nuclear in the media. Only take advice from people who lose their job if they turn out to be wrong.)

        If solar or other technologies need massive subsidies, that tells you that they are not economical yet, which means the money should go into R&D to make them economical. Massive production of uneconomic systems just makes us all poorer.

  • asy 04/19/10 10:56 AM

    As proponents of RE, we must be clear why we are promoting RE before settling down with a particular RE technology.  I hope that as proponents of RE, we are interested in abating climate change and energy independence on a wide scale and as soon as possible.  So we must bet on solutions that meet the following conditions - a) the technologies must be providing Renewable energy as needed (heat or electricity) to run today’s infrastructure base at household and industrial levels…that is, provide solar heat to hot water heaters on roof tops, provide solar heat for heating/cooling of HVAC and process heat for industries, and provide solar electricity as needed…rooftops, fields, and deserts…all must be leveraged so as to minimize energy loss, maximize solar energy capture, and provide energy at cheap costs.  b) the technologies must be able to produce energy at such a cost that the consumers themselves find it promising to use them (without requiring on-going subsidies and feed-in-tarrif as suggested by this article). A free lunch for welcoming may be OK, but there is no free lunch for ever.  c) technologies are easily fabricated by a large number of companies commercially without requiring them to switch over to new capital infrastructure or having any upstream bottlenecks of limited supply of materials or parts (such as rare earth element, mining of special ores and minerals, etc.)

    Solar thermal concentrators surely beat solar PV on all these accounts.  Solar Thermal concentrators can be ‘distributed energy generation’ (heat or electricity as needed) or roof-top installations to heat the hot water needs (and thus avoid double penalty of electric hot water heaters), and can be globally fabricated, installed, and operated.  Their costs are close to coal-produced energy (as seen by the consumers as well as by energy producers).   

    It is too bad that the Solar PV folks dominate and the DOE listens to them.

    Reply
  • WOV 05/3/10 5:43 PM

    FITs utterly collapsed in Spain, (not before halting all price progress in the global industry for 3 years, and leaving an unpromising toxic residue of uncompetitive manufacturers behind them,) are headed for an intermediate reduction in about 6 weeks in Germany on their way to complete collapse Spring 2011 (due to unwillingness to keep supporting Chinese industrial policy,) collapsed in the Czech Republic, are 12 months away from collapse in Ontario (upon the day they hit 15% retail price impact and run out of political will,) lasted for one day in Gainesville and one day in Vermont, and still all we get is the relentless reporting of “momentum” behind FITs, a lot of people pointing to Germany’s benefits w/o regard to their costs, uncritical quoting of various poorly-researched and self-referential “echo chamber” reports all “proving” FIT superiority, and patronizing coverage of the far more sustainable US policies as a second-best option.  With a few notable exceptions (CA may yet get theirs right,) FITs are bad policy, they’re poorly designed, and they don’t develop sustainable or sustained markets, but a $100B+ annual budget covers up a lot of flaws until the party stops all of a sudden. Meanwhile there’s a lot of manufacturers out there utterly unable to keep the lights on unless gratuitous and unquestioning oversubsidy continues, iand they’ve got no choice but to tie themselves to this sinking ship.  The movie producers had it about right; I think the ancient Aztecs predicted 2012 as the year all the FITs come tumbling into the ocean and only those with more market-based policies are still standing.

    Reply
      • JoeJoe 05/3/10 10:51 PM

        WOV, I’m surprised no one has called you out. You paint the FiT in Chicken Little terms - collapse, toxic, sinking, Aztecs. What need is there for all the drama? Where does this $100 billion annual FiT budget number come from? What US policies are more sustainable than FiTs?

        Judging from all the details in your post one could conclude that you’re an informed dude but then I look at the composition as a whole I don’t see any realness connecting all the details. The argument could go on and on I suppose. When I boil things down I always say to myself, California has much better conditions for PV than Germany but they’ve seen a fraction of Germany’s development. There’s really no comparable market to Germany as far as competitiveness goes. Look at the latest BSW numbers which have installed costs of 2.86 Euro/Watt in Germany - who can even come close? How can any other support mechanism claim superiority?

        The FiT isn’t perfect – this much is true. But, the big question (which you overlook) is how will the FiT evolve going forward? You’re saying it will collapse (which is construed as a failure) but I’m thinking a healthy contraction is all we’ll see. You can figure that FiT will be at about 26.5 cents/kWh by this time next year. To sustain growth (neglecting the self-generation kicker) the installed costs will need to be below 2.2 Euro/Watt (roughly). This installed cost looks readily achievable to me. If the market keeps trucking along with a FiT at 26.5 cents/kWh it’s only a hope skip and a jump to grid parity at about 21 cents/kWh. It’s too early to tell but you can start to imagine how the market in Germany could transition from the current FiT driven growth to a “self-gen kicker” based growth as early as 2012/2013 and then onto some sort of market based equilibrium beyond there. i.e. About the opposite of what you’re saying about sustainability.

  • Eugene 04/15/10 4:45 PM

    I went to the talk, and the main thing I realized is that I had no idea what a feed-in tariff was.  The way Ko defines it, there is no subsidy provided by the government/municipality.  The government mandates a price (paid by utilities to the PV developers) and how it changes over time; typically the rate is initially higher than wholesale market price, but is mandated to decrease a few percent a year, and the idea is that it will eventually be equal to or lower than the price of non-renewables.  The utilities will pass the higher initial costs and (hopefully) eventual savings to consumers, so nowhere does the government provide any subsidy in this scenario.

    Ko did mention the two main political pressures against FiTs.  The first being that people don’t want to pay more for electricity in the short term, even given the promise of future savings.  And the second is that the utilities don’t like losing control over prices.

  • J Bran 04/18/10 1:33 PM

    xchen these quotes are from Lewis websites…....Looks to me like he is just looking for tax payers and big government to fund what the private sector would be leading already, a green industrial revolution for $$$ profit. If big government just leveled the playing field and stopped government “investment”, like ethanol, and replaced “investment” with a 100% tax cut for AE infrastructure,labor and energy, instead, We The People would already be surfing on the wave of alternative sources of energy.

    Craig Lewis

    Craig Lewis is the Founding Principal of RightCycle, a consultancy that achieves desirable Smart Energy outcomes via legislation, regulation, and public funding (grants, loan guarantees, and siting incentives).
    http://www.rightcycle.com/

    Mr. Lewis was also a formative member of the Clean Tech for Obama (CT4O) organization, which was highly successful in raising funds for the Obama campaign and in elevating the importance of clean technology; not only within the campaign, but also throughout the general public; across the country and around the globe.
    I agree that this country needs an energy policy, what we do not need is more government funding to special interest at tax payer expense. We need to cut taxes 100% for AE infrastructure, labor and equipment and give the private sector the green $$$ incentive to adapt clean $$$ green and renewable fuel sources. We need the distributed renewable energy that is produced from the new infrastructure from these AE companies to be to sold and purchased Tax Free. Let freedom ring not government spending.

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